About the Authors

Oliver T. Mytton

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

otm21@medschl.cam.ac.uk

‡ These authors are joint first authors on this work.

Affiliation MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Christopher Jackson

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

‡ These authors are joint first authors on this work.

Affiliation MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Arno Steinacher

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Anna Goodman

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Methodology, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

Claudia Langenberg

Roles Conceptualization, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Simon Griffin

Roles Conceptualization, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Nick Wareham

Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

James Woodcock

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

CL receives a stipend as a specialty consulting editor for PLOS Medicine and serves on the journal's editorial board. NW is a member of the Expert Scientific and Clinical Advisor Panel (ESCAP) for the NHS Health Check Programme and was an editor for a (single) special edition of PLOS Medicine focusing on diabetes. AG received grants and nonfinancial support from Public Health England during the conduct of the study. OTM has an honorary contract with Public Health England (East of England) for the purposes of undertaking health protection on-call duties. Development of the model, as well as analysis, presentation and interpretation of the findings, was independent of the funders. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of Public Health England, the Department of Health, or institutions that fund or support the authors. No funding bodies had any role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.