About the Authors

Colin D Mathers, Dejan Loncar
Evidence and Information for Policy Cluster, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

Corresponding Author


Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Author Contributions

CDM designed the study. CDM and DL analyzed the data. CDM and DL contributed to writing the paper. CDM led the design of the study and was primarily responsible for the burden of disease and population projections and the interpretation of the results. DL was primarily responsible for the preparation and analysis of the input mortality data (data from the WHO mortality database). Both authors participated in the development of the mortality projections under the three scenarios.