About the Authors

Ruanne V Barnabas

To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: ruanne.barnabas@ndm.ox.ac.uk

Affiliations Cancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom , Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom

Päivi Laukkanen

Affiliations National Public Health Institute, Helsinki and Oulu, Finland , Finnish Cancer Registry, Institute for Statistical and Epidemiological Cancer Research, Helsinki, Finland

Pentti Koskela

Affiliation National Public Health Institute, Helsinki and Oulu, Finland

Osmo Kontula

Affiliation Family Federation of Finland, Helsinki, Finland

Matti Lehtinen

Affiliations National Public Health Institute, Helsinki and Oulu, Finland , School of Public Health, University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland

Geoff P Garnett

Affiliation Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

GPG and RVB are consultants for Sanofi-Pasteur MSD.

Author Contributions

ML and GPG led the design of the study. RVB and GPG were primarily responsible for developing the mathematical model of HPV infection and progression to cervical cancer. PK was responsible for the serological data. OK was responsible for the sexual behaviour data. RVB and PL were primarily responsible for the estimation of HPV 16 transmission probability. PL was responsible for the statistical analyses and Finnish demographic and health care data. RVB and GPG were responsible for the vaccination scenarios. RVB, PL, PK, OK, ML and GPG participated in interpretation of the results and writing and revision of the report.