About the Authors

Rebecca F Baggaley

To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: rebecca.baggaley@hpa.org.uk

Address ¤ Current address: Statistics, Modelling, and Bioinformatics Department, Health Protection Agency, London, United Kingdom

Affiliation Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom

Geoff P Garnett

Affiliation Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom

Neil M Ferguson

Affiliation Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

: RFB was supported by an unrestricted educational grant from GlaxoSmithKline.

Author Contributions

RFB, GPG, and NMF were involved in the conception and design of the mathematical model and analysis of model results. RFB drafted the manuscript and programmed the model, and GPG and NMF reviewed the work and gave comments at each stage. RFB, GPG, and NMF gave final approval for submission.