About the Authors

Caroline T Korves

To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: ck2187@columbia.edu

Affiliations Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, The Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America

Sue J Goldie

Affiliation The Harvard Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Megan B Murray

Affiliations Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Infectious Disease Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Author Contributions

CTK, SJG, and MBM designed the study and contributed to writing the paper. CTK and MBM analyzed the data. SJG provided oversight of the model-development process and model simulations.