About the Authors

Jamie T. Griffin

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

T. Deirdre Hollingsworth

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Lucy C. Okell

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Thomas S. Churcher

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Michael White

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Wes Hinsley

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Teun Bousema

Affiliation Department of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, England

Chris J. Drakeley

Affiliation Department of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, England

Neil M. Ferguson

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

María-Gloria Basáñez

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Azra C. Ghani

a.ghani@imperial.ac.uk

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis & Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, England

Competing Interests

ACG has received payment for advice on malaria transmission modeling from Glaxo SmithKline.

Author Contributions

ICMJE criteria for authorship read and met: JTG TDH LCO TSC MW WH TB CD NMF MGB ACG. Agree with the manuscript's results and conclusions: JTG TDH LCO TSC MW WH TB CD NMF MGB ACG. Designed the experiments/the study: JTG LCO TSC ACG. Analyzed the data: JTG TDH TSC ACG. Collected data/did experiments for the study: JTG TDH LCO TSC WH CD ACG. Wrote the first draft of the paper: JTG ACG. Contributed to the writing of the paper: TDH LCO TSC MW TB CD NMF MGB. Provided some of the data used and helped in epidemiological interpretation of other datasets: CD. Assisted in model development and testing, advised on presentation of the results: NMF.