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Bayesian History Matching of Complex Infectious Disease Models Using Emulation: A Tutorial and a Case Study on HIV in Uganda

Figure 9

Convergence of the simulator's output to the empirical data with successive waves of history matching.

Each of the 18 panels shows the range of the target data (horizontal region) and the simulator's output in waves 1 (red), 4 (yellow), 7 (blue) and 10 (green) (left to right along the x-axis).

Figure 9