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Active Learning to Understand Infectious Disease Models and Improve Policy Making

Figure 4

Variability of the simulation model output due to stochastic effects.

Multiple executions of the stochastic FluTE model with identical epidemiological configuration lead to different outcomes. The variability is shown by the median, minimum and maximum AR (left) and day of the epidemic peak (right) for each combination of the R0, travel and seeding parameters. The configurations are sorted on their median response value.

Figure 4