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The Timing and Targeting of Treatment in Influenza Pandemics Influences the Emergence of Resistance in Structured Populations

Figure 3

Treatment timing above and below critical manifold.

Effects of treatment when initial conditions are above (panels b, c, d) and below (panels e, f, g) the critical manifold. Panel a is replicated from Figure 2, with each dot corresponding to the panels at right. Solid lines correspond to mean-field approximations, and points correspond to means of 100,000 simulations on networks of size 250,000. Horizontal black line corresponds to a mean of 1 infected individual in a network of 250,000 over 100,000 simulations. With no treatment the disease reaches a maximum and decays (panels b and e). Treatment is only effective early in the simulations when the initial conditions are under the critical manifold (panel f compared to panel c) as opposed to when the initial conditions are over the critical manifold (panel g compared to panel d). Parameters: , , , , , , and .

Figure 3