About the Authors

George Shirreff, Lorenzo Pellis, Christophe Fraser
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom

Oliver Laeyendecker
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Oliver Laeyendecker
Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Corresponding Author


Competing Interests

The authors declare that they have no financial, personal, or professional interests in conflict with the findings in this paper.

Author Contributions

Conceived and designed the experiments: GS LP CF. Performed the experiments: GS. Analyzed the data: GS CF. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: GS LP CF. Wrote the paper: GS CF. Provided the data to which the model was fit: OL.