Adaptive Management and the Value of Information: Learning Via Intervention in Epidemiology
Figure 2
Schematic of the two phases of the AM process (Table 1).
Left of the dashed line indicates model projections under the phase 1 management action prior to the first opportunity to update management—colored shading indicates projections of competing models. The red line indicates the observed time series of the epidemic up to the decision point. Right of the dashed line indicates new projections from each model, conditional on the observed epidemic up to the update, from which to assess the alternative management actions.